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帮助医生和病人对健康统计的意义:迈向一个以证据为基础的社会

Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics: towards an evidence-based society
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/icots2010_gigerenezer_hdap/  
主讲教师: Gerd Gigerenzer
开课单位: 马克斯普朗克研究所
开课时间: 信息不详。欢迎您在右侧留言补充。
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
集体统计文盲是指大多数人不了解卫生统计的含义,甚至在不注意的情况下总是得出错误结论的现象。例如,很少有人意识到癌症筛查的较高存活率并不意味着寿命更长,或者说,乳房X光摄影筛查将死于乳腺癌的风险降低了20%,事实上,这意味着每1000名妇女中就有1人死于乳腺癌。我认为,统计文盲(i)对病人、记者和医生都很常见;(i i)是由非透明的信息框架造成的,这有时是缺乏理解的无意结果,但也可能是有意操纵或说服人们的努力;以及(i i i)是持续缺乏效率的结果。教育系统统计思维能力的培训。
课程简介: Collective statistical illiteracy is the phenomenon that the majority of people do not understand what health statistics mean, or even consistently draw wrong conclusions without noticing. For instance, few are aware that higher survival rates with cancer screening do not imply longer life, or that the statement that mammography screening reduces the risk of dying from breast cancer by 20% in fact means that 1 less woman out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer. I argue that statistical illiteracy (i) is common to patients, journalists, and physicians alike; (ii) is created by nontransparent framing of information that is sometimes an unintentional result of lack of understanding, but can also be an intentional effort to manipulate or persuade people; and (iii) is a consequence of the ongoing lack of efficient training in statistical thinking in the educational system.
关 键 词: 健康统计数据; 信息不透明; 教育系统
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2019-12-10:cwx
阅读次数: 28