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地质碳汇应对气候变化

Geosciences and Carbon Sequestration to Address Climate Change
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/mitworld_leinen_geosciences/  
主讲教师: Margaret Leinen
开课单位: CLIMOS 公司
开课时间: 2011-08-29
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
全球碳排放的速度可能会使人类尽最大努力在2050年之前将其稳定在当前水平以下,但这不足以阻止地球温度的大幅上升。Margaret Leinen根据联合国最近的气候报告和该领域的最新研究,展示了一幅可怕的图表:二氧化碳排放量的红线稳步向上移动,附带的图表描绘了国际社会缓解温室气体排放的努力所希望产生的影响。当前的全球减排“楔子”包括尚未开发或广泛部署的技术,如能源效率、纤维素生物燃料、太阳能、风能和核能。Leinen指出,大多数可再生能源减排都是在20-30年后开始实施的,而现实情况是,在我们试图解决这一问题的同时,未来20-30年大气中的二氧化碳将增加。Leinen说,政策制定者还没有开始努力解决延迟排放的概念。在科学家中,越来越多的人担心,“我们将在足够长的时间内处理追赶问题,不管我们是否制定政策,我们都将承受排放的后果。”这些预测向一些科学家建议,我们必须采取更激进、更直接的步骤,并对我们的工作进行地理工程设计。摆脱全球变暖。但莱宁说,其他科学家不愿意讨论这些方法,更不愿意让他们看到光明。Leinen说,碳捕获和封存“被一些人视为减少排放的必要机制”,并吸引了政治家的兴趣,被另一个科学阵营视为“软工程”,或“地球工程之光”。当一位诺贝尔科学家写了一篇文章建议使用Stratospheri时,为了减少阳光照射到地球上,科学家们发出了警告,游说著名的杂志不要发表它。莱宁自己的研究领域,即海洋铁施肥,试图刺激浮游植物的活动,这将有助于吸收大气中的二氧化碳。这些方法都面临着反对,因为它们可能产生负面影响。但是,Leinen说,这些论点“忽略了这样一个事实,即我们面临着一种情况,在这种情况下,我们必须拥有一整套减少二氧化碳排放的活动组合”。她担心,缺乏讨论或持续的争论会使科学家处于一种“政策制定者希望转向(新)技术”的境地,而我们还没有充分研究这些技术,无法就它们是否有效提供良好的科学答案”。
课程简介: The pace of global carbon emissions may be such that humanity’s best efforts to stabilize them below current levels by 2050 won’t be enough to prevent a significant increase in Earth’s temperatures. Margaret Leinen, drawing on the U.N.’s recent climate reports, and the latest research from the field, shows the dire graph: a red line of CO2 emissions marching steadily upward, with accompanying graphics depicting hoped-for impacts of international efforts to mitigate greenhouse gas release. The current global abatement “wedges” consist of technologies not yet developed or widely deployed, such as energy efficiencies, cellulosic biofuels, solar, wind, and nuclear. Leinen notes that most of the abatement in renewables “comes into play 20-30 years out,” and the “reality is there will be increases in CO2 in the atmosphere for the next 20-30 years while we try to address the problem.” Policy makers have not begun to grapple with the notion of delayed onset of emissions, says Leinen. Among scientists, there’s growing concern that “we’re going to be dealing with catch-up for a long enough time that we will suffer the consequences of emissions regardless of whether we put policies in place.” These projections suggest to some scientists that we must take more radical, immediate steps and geoengineer our way out of global warming. But other scientists, says Leinen, are loath to discuss these approaches, much less let them see the light of day. Carbon capture and sequestration, “viewed as necessary mechanisms for emissions reductions by some” says Leinen, and which have captured the interest of politicians, are viewed by another scientific camp “as soft engineering, or geoengineering light.” When a Nobel scientist wrote an article proposing the use of stratospheric aerosols to decrease sunlight hitting the earth, alarmed scientists lobbied prestigious journals not to publish it. Leinen’s own area of research, ocean iron fertilization, attempts to stimulate phytoplankton activity, which would help sop up atmospheric CO2. These approaches all face opposition because of their possible, negative impacts. But, says Leinen, these arguments “ignore the fact that we’re faced with a situation in which we must have an entire portfolio of activities” for reducing CO2. She worries that lack of discourse, or constant dispute will put scientists in a position “where policy makers want to move to (the new) techniques … and we won’t have studied them sufficiently to provide good scientific answers about whether they work.”
关 键 词: 技术; 工程; 环境
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-06-06:yumf
阅读次数: 45