石油残局致胜Winning the Oil Endgame |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/mitworld_lovins_wtoe/ |
主讲教师: | Amory B. Lovins |
开课单位: | 美国洛基山研究所 |
开课时间: | 2013-08-19 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 汽车、卡车和飞机是艾默里洛文斯戒除石油习惯计划的核心。洛文斯说:“我们必须用复合材料使我们所有的汽车变得更轻、更强;更符合空气动力学;并且能够使用生物燃料。”他说:“到2025年,我们可以将石油使用量减少一半,到2040年,石油使用量可能为零。”这是一项价值1800亿美元、回报丰厚的投资。”洛文斯对怀疑论者进行了许多论证。首先,许多技术诀窍已经存在,“将负担得起的超轻型先进复合材料汽车推向市场”。洛文斯认为,政府的激励措施将刺激制造商和消费者对这场革命的需求。政府可以向低收入客户提供节能汽车租赁,前提是他们报废“脏”车辆,为整个政府机队建立绿色交通,并向航空公司贷款购买高效的新飞机。洛文斯看到了军方的一个巨大诱因,他们花费1/3的预算来转移人员和机器。如果国防部像DARPA之前在互联网、GPS和芯片上所做的那样投资于节能目标,那该怎么办?“这将改变民用汽车、卡车和飞机行业。”在私营领域,沃尔玛和其他希望节省燃料的零售巨头将很快转向一种新的高效大型卡车;农民可能会迎来一个巨大的生物燃料新市场。“以前发生过巨大的快速变化,”Lovins向我们保证,只要看看从鲸鱼油到煤炭和天然气的转变。如今,不买石油比买石油便宜。如果我们逐步淘汰石油,最终的奖品是什么?洛文斯说:“地缘政治和气候稳定,更强大的经济,简而言之,是一个更加安全的世界。” |
课程简介: | Cars, trucks and planes lie at the heart of Amory Lovins plan for kicking the oil habit. We must make all our vehicles both lighter and stronger, using composite materials; more aerodynamic; and capable of running on biofuels, says Lovins. “We could cut oil use in half by 2025, and by 2040, oil use could be zero,” he states. It’s a $180-billion-dollar investment “with handsome returns.” Lovins marshals many arguments against the skeptics. First, much of the technological know-how already exists to “bring affordable, ultralight advanced composite vehicles to market.” And Lovins believes government incentives will stimulate demand among manufacturers and consumers for this revolution. The government could provide leases for energy efficient cars to low-income customers, provided they scrap their “dirty” vehicles; establish green transport for the entire government fleet; and lend the airlines money for efficient new planes. Lovins sees a big inducement for the military, which spends 1/3rd of its budget moving people and machines around. What if Defense invested in energy efficient goals “as DARPA did earlier with the Internet, GPS and chips,” ponders Lovins. “It would transform the civilian car, truck and plane industries.” In the private sphere, Walmart and other retail giants looking to save on fuel dollars would readily switch to a new line of efficient big trucks; and farmers would likely embrace a gigantic new market for biofuels. “Big fast changes have happened before,” Lovins reassures us—just look at the transition from whale oil to coal and gas. These days, it costs less not to buy oil than to buy it. The ultimate prize if we phase out oil? Geopolitical and climate stability, stronger economies – in short, says Lovins, “a much safer world.” |
关 键 词: | 技术; 能量; 复合材料; 生物燃料 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2020-05-31:吴雨秋(课程编辑志愿者) |
阅读次数: | 58 |