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疫情网络拓扑的传播影响

Influence of the network topology on epidemic spreading
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/solomon_kocarev_epidemic_spreading/  
主讲教师: Ljupčo Kocarev
开课单位: 马其顿科学艺术学院
开课时间: 2013-07-19
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
近十年来,人们广泛研究了网络结构对传播过程动力学的影响。部分回答这个问题的重要结果表明,这些过程的宏观行为与网络中的特定结构特性(如拓扑相关矩阵的最大特征值)之间存在弱联系。然而,很少有人知道网络拓扑结构对微观层面的直接影响,例如(相邻)网络对特定节点感染概率的影响。为了回答这个问题,我们对两种传播过程(反应过程和接触过程)的易感感染模型中特定节点具有感染性的概率得出一个上限和一个下限。边界是通过考虑节点的n跳邻域而得到的;边界越紧,因为使用较大的n跳邻域来计算它们。因此,利用不同邻域大小的局部信息,我们评估了拓扑结构对传播过程的影响程度,从而提供了拓扑结构与传播过程之间的强大宏观联系。我们的研究结果与真实电子邮件网络的数值结果相辅相成。仅使用两个跃点邻域就可以很好地估计感染密度,平均占整个网络拓扑的0.4%。
课程简介: The influence of the network’s structure on the dynamics of spreading processes has been extensively studied in the last decade. Important results that partially answer this question show a weak connection between the macroscopic behavior of these processes and specific structural properties in the network, such as the largest eigenvalue of a topology related matrix. However, little is known about the direct influence of the network topology on the microscopic level, such as the influence of the (neighboring) network on the probability of a particular node’s infection. To answer this question, we derive both an upper and a lower bound for the probability that a particular node is infective in a susceptible-infective-susceptible model for two cases of spreading processes: reactive and contact processes. The bounds are derived by considering the n-hop neighborhood of the node; the bounds are tighter as one uses a larger n-hop neighborhood to calculate them. Consequently, using local information for different neighborhood sizes, we assess the extent to which the topology influences the spreading process, thus providing also a strong macroscopic connection between the former and the latter. Our findings are complemented by numerical results for a real-world email network. A very good estimate for the infection density is obtained using only two-hop neighborhoods, which account for 0.4% of the entire network topology on average.
关 键 词: 计算机科学; 网络分析; 影响
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-06-11:liush
阅读次数: 43