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讲座25 - 杠杆周期和次贷危机

Lecture 25 - The Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/yalemecon251f09_geanakoplos_lec25/  
主讲教师: John Geanakoplos
开课单位: 耶鲁大学
开课时间: 2012-03-17
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
标准金融理论让我们对2007-09年的金融危机毫无准备。理论上缺少了一些东西。在大多数贷款中, 借款人必须就利率以及他将提供多少抵押来保证还款达成一致。所有教科书中提出的标准理论都忽略了附带的理论。接下来的两个讲座介绍了杠杆周期的理论, 其中违约和抵押品是内在确定的。该理论的主要含义是, 当抵押品要求变得宽松和杠杆增加时, 资产价格就会上涨, 但当抵押品要求变得更加严格, 杠杆率下降时, 资产价格就会下降。这与我们迄今教授的资产定价的基本价值理论形成了鲜明的对比。我们将研究一些有关次贷危机的事实, 看看新理论是否提供了令人信服的解释。
课程简介: Standard financial theory left us woefully unprepared for the financial crisis of 2007-09. Something is missing in the theory. In the majority of loans the borrower must agree on an interest rate and also on how much collateral he will put up to guarantee repayment. The standard theory presented in all the textbooks ignores collateral. The next two lectures introduce a theory of the Leverage Cycle, in which default and collateral are endogenously determined. The main implication of the theory is that when collateral requirements get looser and leverage increases, asset prices rise, but then when collateral requirements get tougher and leverage decreases, asset prices fall. This stands in stark contrast to the fundamental value theory of asset pricing we taught so far. We'll look at a number of facts about the subprime mortgage crisis, and see whether the new theory offers convincing explanations.
关 键 词: 商业; 金融理论; 杠杆周期
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-06-13:邬启凡(课程编辑志愿者)
阅读次数: 103