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通过净化的顺序依赖提高人的判断

Improving Human Judgments by Decontaminating Sequential Dependencies
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/nips2010_mozer_ihj/  
主讲教师: Michael C. Mozer
开课单位: 科罗拉多大学
开课时间: 2011-03-25
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
半个多世纪以来,心理学家一直对穷人如何通过评分量表表达他们的内在感觉、印象和评价感到震惊。当个人做出判断时,他们不能使用绝对评分量表,而是依赖于最近经验的参考点。这种判断的相对性限制了个人对调查、问卷和评估表的回答的有效性。幸运的是,将内部状态转化为反应的认知过程不仅仅是噪音,而是以合法的方式受到近期经验的影响。我们探索去除顺序依赖性的技术,从而消除一系列评级,以获得更有意义的人类判断。在我们的表述中,净化从根本上来说是一个推断潜在状态(内部感觉)的问题,由于判断的相关性,这些潜在状态(内部感觉)具有时间依赖性。我们提出了一种基于相对判断心理理论的约束条件随机场去污方法。我们对去污模型的探索得到了两个实验的支持,这两个实验是我们在一个简单的长度估计任务上获得地面真值评估数据。我们的去污技术使人类判断的误差降低了20%以上。
课程简介: For over half a century, psychologists have been struck by how poor people are at expressing their internal sensations, impressions, and evaluations via rating scales. When individuals make judgments, they are incapable of using an absolute rating scale, and instead rely on reference points from recent experience. This relativity of judgment limits the usefulness of responses provided by individuals to surveys, questionnaires, and evaluation forms. Fortunately, the cognitive processes that transform internal states to responses are not simply noisy, but rather are influenced by recent experience in a lawful manner. We explore techniques to remove sequential dependencies, and thereby decontaminate a series of ratings to obtain more meaningful human judgments. In our formulation, decontamination is fundamentally a problem of inferring latent states (internal sensations) which, because of the relativity of judgment, have temporal dependencies. We propose a decontamination solution using a conditional random field with constraints motivated by psychological theories of relative judgment. Our exploration of decontamination models is supported by two experiments we conducted to obtain ground-truth rating data on a simple length estimation task. Our decontamination techniques yield an over 20% reduction in the error of human judgments.
关 键 词: 心理学; 社会科学; 动机
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-07-29:yumf
阅读次数: 73