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衡量一个社会系统的反应

Measuring the Response of a Social System
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/ccss09_crane_mtroass/  
主讲教师: Riley Crane
开课单位: 苏黎世联邦理工学院
开课时间: 2009-07-10
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
我们研究了一个社会系统在内源性和外源性活动爆发后的放松反应,使用YouTube上近500万个视频的日观看次数的时间序列。我们发现大多数活动可以准确地描述为泊松过程。然而,我们也发现了成千上万的例子,在一个活动爆发之后,随之而来的是普遍存在的权力法放松,控制了观点的时间。我们发现这些松弛指数聚集成三个不同的类别,并允许人类集体动力学的分类。这与社交网络上的流行病模型是一致的,该模型包含两个要素:原因和行动之间等待时间的幂律分布,以及行动的流行病级联,这些行动将成为未来行动的起因。该工作是波动耗散定理在社会系统中的概念扩展,为复杂系统中时序研究提供了独特的框架。
课程简介: We study the relaxation response of a social system after endogenous and exogenous bursts of activity using the time series of daily views for nearly 5 million videos on YouTube. We find that most activity can be described accurately as a Poisson process. However, we also find hundreds of thousands of examples in which a burst of activity is followed by an ubiquitous power-law relaxation governing the timing of views. We find that these relaxation exponents cluster into three distinct classes and allow for the classification of collective human dynamics. This is consistent with an epidemic model on a social network containing two ingredients: a power-law distribution of waiting times between cause and action and an epidemic cascade of actions becoming the cause of future actions. This work is a conceptual extension of the fluctuation dissipation theorem to social systems and provides a unique framework for the investigation of timing in complex systems.
关 键 词: 泊松过程; 幂律松弛; 时间数列; 社会系统
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2019-10-29:lxf
阅读次数: 36