复杂系统的策略信息学Policy Informatics for Complex Systems |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/ccss09_eubank_pifcs/ |
主讲教师: | Stephen Eubank |
开课单位: | 弗吉尼亚理工大学 |
开课时间: | 2009-07-10 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 在复杂的社会经济体系中,心理模型不足以应对危机。现代信息技术可以通过模拟数据来支持基于证据的政策。综合数据为情况和假设结果提供了一种自然的表示,适合决策者使用。本讲座将探讨新兴的政策信息学科学中出现的问题:对规划或响应工作的支持之间的区别;确定合成数据的分辨率、保真度、精度和准确度的要求;模型开发人员和涉众之间的沟通,包括设计信息丰富的实验和解释结果;评估模型的充分性。从新型H1N1流感的实际经验中可以得出一些例子。 |
课程简介: | Mental models are inadequate for coping with crises in complex socioeconomic systems. Modern information technology can support evidencebased policies using simulations to synthesize data. Synthetic data provide a natural representation of situations and hypothetical outcomes, suitable for use by policy-makers. This talk will explore issues arising in the emerging science of policy informatics: distinctions between support for planning or response efforts; determining requirements for resolution, fidelity, precision, and accuracy in synthetic data; communicating between model developers and stakeholders which includes designing informative experiments and interpreting outcomes; and assessing adequacy of models. Examples will be drawn from practical experiences with the novel H1N1 influenza. |
关 键 词: | 经济系统; 现代信息技术 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2020-06-29:cxin |
阅读次数: | 47 |