首页经济学
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复杂系统的策略信息学

Policy Informatics for Complex Systems
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/ccss09_eubank_pifcs/  
主讲教师: Stephen Eubank
开课单位: 弗吉尼亚理工大学
开课时间: 2009-07-10
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
在复杂的社会经济体系中,心理模型不足以应对危机。现代信息技术可以通过模拟数据来支持基于证据的政策。综合数据为情况和假设结果提供了一种自然的表示,适合决策者使用。本讲座将探讨新兴的政策信息学科学中出现的问题:对规划或响应工作的支持之间的区别;确定合成数据的分辨率、保真度、精度和准确度的要求;模型开发人员和涉众之间的沟通,包括设计信息丰富的实验和解释结果;评估模型的充分性。从新型H1N1流感的实际经验中可以得出一些例子。
课程简介: Mental models are inadequate for coping with crises in complex socioeconomic systems. Modern information technology can support evidencebased policies using simulations to synthesize data. Synthetic data provide a natural representation of situations and hypothetical outcomes, suitable for use by policy-makers. This talk will explore issues arising in the emerging science of policy informatics: distinctions between support for planning or response efforts; determining requirements for resolution, fidelity, precision, and accuracy in synthetic data; communicating between model developers and stakeholders which includes designing informative experiments and interpreting outcomes; and assessing adequacy of models. Examples will be drawn from practical experiences with the novel H1N1 influenza.
关 键 词: 经济系统; 现代信息技术
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-06-29:cxin
阅读次数: 47