是否存在有效的校准预测策略?Does an efficient calibrated forecasting strategy exist? |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/colt2011_abernethy_strategy/ |
主讲教师: | Jacob Abernethy |
开课单位: | 加州大学伯克利分校 |
开课时间: | 2011-08-02 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 我们回想起两个先前提出的关于预测器的渐近校准的概念,其进行一系列概率预测。我们注意到,校准预测的有效算法的存在只适用于二元结果。我们提出了一个问题:对于一般(非二元)情况,是否存在这样有效的算法? |
课程简介: | We recall two previously-proposed notions of asymptotic calibration for a forecaster making a sequence of probability predictions. We note that the existence of efficient algorithms for calibrated forecasting holds only in the case of binary outcomes. We pose the question: do there exist such efficient algorithms for the general (non-binary) case? |
关 键 词: | 概率; 预测器; 校准预测 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2019-03-13:chenxin |
阅读次数: | 68 |