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图形模型的贝叶斯推理

Bayesian Reasoning with Graphical Models
课程网址: http://ocw.upm.es/ciencia-de-la-computacion-e-inteligencia-artifi...  
主讲教师: Concha Bielza; Pedro Larrañaga
开课单位: 马德里理工大学
开课时间: 2008-11-01
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
本课程激励和介绍图形模型(特别关注贝叶斯网络)以及整合和流行的工具,能够用不确定性和理性来表示知识,这是构建人工智能智能系统的主要挑战之一。不确定性用概率论建模,推理基于贝叶斯’规则。贝叶斯网络表示联合概率分布的因子分解。节点表示域的变量,链接表示条件依赖的属性和变量之间的独立性。该课程将深入阐述理论和实践基础。课程开始解释这些网络的意义,以模拟不确定性下的因果和非因果知识,以及结构观点(定性)和参数观点(定量)。以下步骤是向网络查询感兴趣的不同问题,即根据正在收集的证据进行推断。例如,我们可以要求诊断疾病或对观察到的证据进行最可能的解释。推理算法可以获得精确或近似的答案,后者通过例如计算得到。蒙特卡罗模拟。网络是在域专家的帮助下构建的,但也可以从数据库中引入。这称为现代学习算法,包括参数学习和结构学习技术。最后,其他主题包括不同领域的一些成功的实际应用程序。
课程简介: This course motivates and introduces graphical models (with special attention to Bayesian networks) as well consolidated and popular tools with the ability to represent knowledge under uncertainty and reason with it, one of the main challenges in building intelligent systems in Artificial Intelligence. Uncertainty is modelled with probability theory and reasoning is based on Bayes’ rule. Bayesian networks represent factorizations of joint probability distributions. Nodes represent the variables of the domain and links represent the properties of conditional dependences and independences among the variables. The course will provide an in-depth exposition of theoretical and practical underpinnings. The course starts explaining the meaning of these networks to model both causal and non-causal knowledge under uncertainty, and both from a structural viewpoint (qualitative) and from a parametric viewpoint (quantitative). The following step is to query the network about different issues of interest, i.e. to make inferences from evidence that is being gathered. For example, we can ask for the diagnosis of a disease or for the most probable explanation of the observed evidence. The inference algorithms can obtain an exact or an approximate answer, the latter being computed via e.g. Monte Carlo simulation. The network is built with the aid of a domain expert, but it can also be induced from a database. This calls modern learning algorithms including parameter learning and structure learning techniques. Finally, additional topics include a number of successful real-world applications in different areas.
关 键 词: 图形模型; 贝叶斯网络; 推理算法
课程来源: 马德里理工大学公开课
最后编审: 2015-12-06:linxl
阅读次数: 56