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核能的未来

The Future of Nuclear Energy
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/mitworld_durant_kadak_macfarlane_reis_fn...  
主讲教师: Victor Reis, Allison Macfarlane, John Durant, Andrew C. Kadak
开课单位: 麻省理工学院
开课时间: 2013-01-14
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
核能将成为解决全球变暖和安全能源供应或全球灾难的双重危机的解决方案。至少在这个小组中,似乎没有一个舒适的中间地带。麻省理工学院的安德鲁·卡达克是两位发言者之一,他们主张核能的必要性,推进了一组研究人员制定的政策建议。考虑到全球变暖的事实,我们必须承认“第二个不方便的事实”,卡达克说必须使用所有非二氧化碳排放的能源,并且要在短期内发挥真正的作用,我们必须首先转向核能现在,美国有20%的电力来自核电站,但自1975年以来一直没有新的电厂订单。现任政府希望通过其2005年的能源政策法案来设定税收抵免。用于建造新的发电厂。在复杂的新工厂设计和激活的Yucca Mountain储存库的帮助下,未来几年可能会聚集在一起的燃料Yucca Mountain储存库,Kadak认为公用事业和投资者将接受高昂的建设成本。如果政府实施碳税,这将使化石燃料成本更高,最终在核电的竞争环境中徘徊,这将更有可能。维克多雷斯制定了三项潜在政策:核逐步淘汰,核电不增加,而且没有回收利用,以及通过回收增加核电。他驳回了第一个问题,因为“逐步淘汰将不可避免地导致美国燃煤电厂的扩张”,并降低国家在制定全球核政策方面的领导作用。第二项政策取决于在地下储存大量核废料,这意味着随着更多的工厂上线,将没有足够的储存:“想想每隔3年开放另一个丝兰。”Reis和布什政府提倡替代方案,全球核能伙伴关系(GNEP),希望部署新的基于实验室的回收钚燃料的方法,并消除可能被恐怖分子使用的致命副产品。 GNEP还呼吁制定国际燃料租赁协议,其他国家可以使用回收的核燃料。在这个计划中产生的废物大大减少,因此单个Yucca山可能就足够了.Allison Macfarlane对扩大核电的概念持怀疑态度是短期内应对气候变化的关键。建造新工厂需要花费太多而且耗时太长,她说,为什么投资者不会为了天然气工厂而掏钱,这只是成本的一​​小部分而且需要两年时间才能建成?麦克法兰更大的担忧涉及当前轻水反应堆产生的大量废物。她说,反应堆池中有三十到四十吨乏燃料,容易被篡改。至于尤卡山,麦克法兰指出,“没有废弃的燃料或高放废物的废物储存库。这是一个已经存在了50年的行业,这应该让我们停下来。“从政治或技术角度看,废物问题根本不易处理。麦克法兰认为,如果有大规模的核电扩张,它将不会发生在这里或欧洲,而是在亚洲和其他发展中国家,这意味着扩散问题,因为“核能和核武器原子基本相同”。
课程简介: Nuclear energy will emerge either as a solution to the twin crises of global warming and a secure energy supply, or global catastrophe. Within this panel at least, there doesn’t seem to be a comfortable middle ground. MIT’s Andrew Kadak, one of the two speakers arguing the necessity of nuclear energy, advances the policy recommendations formulated by a group of fellow researchers. Given the fact of global warming, we must admit a “second inconvenient truth,” says Kadak -- that all non-CO2 emitting energy sources must be used, and to make a real difference in the near term, we must turn first and foremost to nuclear energy and conservation. Right now, 20% of U.S. electricity flows from nuclear power stations, but there have been no new orders for plants since 1975. The current administration hopes to spur interest, through its Energy Policy Act of 2005, which sets up tax credits for building new power plants. With the help of sophisticated new plant designs and an activated Yucca Mountain repository for spent fuel -- all potentially coming together in the next few years -- Kadak believes utilities and investors will accept the high costs of construction. This will be more likely if government puts in place a carbon tax, which will make fossil fuel costs higher, eventually evening the playing field for nuclear power. Victor Reis lays out three potential policies: nuclear phase-out, growing nuclear power without recycling, and growing nuclear power with recycling. He dismisses the first because “phase-out alone will inevitably lead to expansion of U.S. coal-burning plants,” and reduce the nation’s leadership role in shaping global nuclear policy. The second policy depends on stowing enormous quantities of nuclear waste underground, which means as more plants come on line, there won’t be enough storage: “Think of opening up another Yucca every 3-4 years.” Reis and the Bush Administration advocate an alternative, the Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP), which hopes to deploy new laboratory-based methods of recycling plutonium fuel, and eliminating deadly byproducts that could potentially be used by terrorists. GNEP also calls for an international fuel leasing protocol, where other countries get to use the recycled nuclear fuel. The waste produced is much reduced in this scheme, so a single Yucca Mountain would likely suffice. Allison Macfarlane casts a skeptical eye on the concept of expanded nuclear power as key in the short term to addressing climate change. It costs too much and takes too long to build new plants, she says -- why wouldn’t investors rather plunk their money down for natural gas plants, which are a fraction the cost and take just two years to build? Macfarlane’s larger concerns involve the vast amounts of waste produced by current light water reactors. Thirty to forty tons of spent fuel sits in pools at reactors, she says, vulnerable to tampering. As for Yucca Mountain, Macfarlane notes, “There is no waste repository for spent fuel or high level nuclear waste open. This is in an industry that’s been around for 50 years, and that should give us pause.” The waste problem simply isn’t very tractable from a political or technical perspective. If there’s a large nuclear power expansion, Macfarlane believes, it won’t happen here or in Europe, but in Asia and other developing countries, which means a proliferation issue, since “the nuclear energy and nuclear weapons atom are basically the same.”
关 键 词: 核能; 全球变暖; 安全能源
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2019-05-29:lxf
阅读次数: 130