快速发展的世界能源Energy for a Rapidly Evolving World |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/mitworld_jacoby_prinn_heywood_polenske_s... |
主讲教师: | Ronald G. Prinn, Henry D. Jacoby, Leon R. Glicksman, Amy Smith, Karen R. Polenske, John B. Heywood |
开课单位: | 麻省理工学院 |
开课时间: | 2013-04-19 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | “这些数字是压倒性的,”亨利雅各比在他对最终论坛小组的概述中告诉我们。美国消耗了世界四分之一的能源,排放了世界二氧化碳的四分之一。印度和中国的总人口是美国的九倍,那么当他们接近我们的能源消耗水平时会发生什么?必须非常谨慎地权衡必须大规模应对这一挑战。 随着大规模能源解决方案的出现,Ronald Prinn坚持认为我们会仔细研究对环境的影响。使用集成的全球系统建模工具,更有可能单独或综合评估解决方案的环境和经济可行性。 Prinn说,必须改进的一个领域是气候预测,特别关注海洋在全球变暖中的作用。这对于选择能源选择和适应不可避免的未来气候变化至关重要。 Leon Glicksman报道,建筑在能源消耗方面发挥着惊人的巨大作用。在美国,建筑物使用的能源数量比运输部门高40%。 “这是房间里最大的大猩猩,”格利克斯曼说。由于建筑物的寿命可以接近世纪标记,因此找到改善其能源使用的方法是值得的。 Glicksman说,降低供暖,制冷,照明和通风成本的关键是将建筑物打开,以达到新鲜空气,光线和阳光。节约能源和发现效率需要“从第一天开始将设计功能集成到建筑物中”,他总结道。 John Heywood希望对运输中的节能做出“现实和积极的态度”。随着2050年世界汽车数量从大约8亿增加到20亿,石油消耗量也将增加。海伍德有一些减少燃气消耗的想法,以抵消车辆数量的这种令人眼花缭乱的增长,包括:增加车辆占用和公共交通使用;更高效的运输系统;并增加使用替代燃料和混合动力汽车。如果我们可以在各个领域制造小凹痕,我们可能会对整体运输能源使用产生影响。虽然它可能看起来“头脑简单,但它应该给我们带来希望,”海伍德说。 在她对中国煤炭生产的研究中,Karen Polenske发现焦炉技术的变化导致了能源使用的减少。中国人继续寻找新的能源技术,以减少能源使用和污染,包括在工厂安装引擎盖,关闭一些和重新安置其他设施,作为创建节能区计划的一部分。 Polenske说,他们还试图让那些拥有公园般环境的工人感到愉悦。虽然“我们不能为他们做到这一点,”Polenske说,“我们需要与他们合作。” 世界上数十亿人每天靠不到两美元生活,通过使用牛粪,木头和木炭做饭来生存,会产生什么样的能源问题?艾米史密斯说,室内烹饪火灾导致儿童每年造成100万人死亡,而采伐木柴导致一些地区大面积砍伐森林。为解决这一长期存在的问题,史密斯发明了一种清洁燃烧木炭,由许多发展中国家的廉价材料制成,如55加仑油桶,甘蔗渣和木薯根。 “这可能是你听过的最简单的技术之一,”史密斯说,“但它可以对数百万人的生活产生直接而重大的影响。” 问答环节参与者 Robert C. Armstrong(主持人) 苏珊霍克菲尔德 弗拉基米尔·布洛维奇 杰斐逊W. Tester 大卫T.丹尼尔森 |
课程简介: | “The numbers are overwhelming,” Henry Jacoby tells us in his overview of the final forum panel. The U.S. consumes one-quarter of the world’s energy and emits one-quarter of the world’s carbon dioxide. The combined population of India and China is nine times that of the U.S., so what will happen as they approach our level of energy consumption? Responses to this challenge, which must be on an enormous scale, should be weighed with great care. As large-scale energy solutions emerge, Ronald Prinn insists that we carefully examine impacts on the environment. Using the tool of integrated global system modelling, it will be more possible to assess both the environmental and economic viability of solutions, individually and in aggregate. One area that must be improved, Prinn says, is climate forecasting, with a particular focus on the ocean’s role in global warming. This will be “vital to choosing among energy options and adapting to inevitable future climate change.” Buildings play a surprisingly large role in energy consumption, Leon Glicksman reports. In the U.S., the amount of energy used in buildings is 40% greater than in the transportation sector. “It’s the biggest gorilla in the room,” says Glicksman. Since the lifetimes of buildings can approach the century mark, it pays to find ways of improving their energy use. Key to bringing down the costs of heating, cooling, lighting and ventilation, says Glicksman, is opening buildings up to fresh air, light, and sun. Conserving energy and finding efficiencies require “integrating design functions into buildings from day one,” he concludes. John Heywood wants to be “realistic AND positive” about energy savings in transportation. As the number of vehicles in the world rises from around 800 million to 2 billion in 2050, the amount of petroleum consumed will go up as well. Heywood has some ideas for reducing gas consumption to offset this dizzying increase in vehicle numbers, including: increased vehicle occupancy and public transportation use; more efficient transportation systems; and increased use of alternative fuels and hybrid vehicles. If we can make small dents in a variety of areas, we might well make an impact on transportation energy use overall. While it may appear “simple-minded, it should give us hope,” says Heywood. In her study of coal production in China, Karen Polenske has discovered that changes in coke oven technology have led to reductions in energy use. The Chinese continue to look for new energy technologies to reduce energy use and pollution, including putting hoods on plants, and closing some and relocating other facilities as part of a plan to create energy efficient zones. They also try to make the plants pleasant for workers with park- like settings, says Polenske. While “we can’t do it for them,” says Polenske, “we need to work with them.” What kind of energy concerns have the billions of people in the world who live on less than two dollars a day, and survive by using cow dung, wood and charcoal for cooking? Amy Smith says that indoor cooking fires cause one million deaths a year in children and that harvesting firewood has led to massive deforestation in some regions. To address this persistent problem, Smith has invented a clean burning charcoal, made from inexpensive materials readily available in many developing countries, like 55- gallon oil drums, sugar cane residue and cassava root. “This is probably one of the simplest technologies you’ve heard about,” says Smith, “but it can have an immediate and significant impact on the lives of millions.” Q&A session participants Robert C. Armstrong (Moderator) Susan Hockfield Vladimir Bulovic Jefferson W. Tester David T. Danielson |
关 键 词: | 全球系统建模工具; 能源选择; 创建节能区计划 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2019-06-03:cjy |
阅读次数: | 55 |