超建模:通过替代模型的同步达成共识Supermodeling: Consensus by Synchronization of Alternative Models |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/solomon_duane_supermodeling/ |
主讲教师: | Gregory Duane |
开课单位: | 马其顿科学艺术学院 |
开课时间: | 2011-09-08 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 正在进行的客观过程的计算模型(如天气预报)必须在运行时不断吸收新的观测数据。“真相”和“模型”都是混沌系统,因此通过有限的信息交换在一个方向上进行同步,这种现象可以表征为机器感知。最近的建议是,可以预见类似地将不同模型融合在一起,作为不同模型与现实的三向同步。通过结合一些全球变暖幅度和区域预测不同的不同模型,这种现象可能对改善气候预测很有用。已经提出了几种机器学习方法来训练将不同模型中的相应变量链接起来的连接。随机方法可以避免全局局部最优,但是智能“专家系统”方法似乎可以改善超模型。 |
课程简介: | Computational models of an ongoing objective process, as in weather forecasting, must continually assimilate new observational data as they run. Both "truth" and "model" are chaotic systems that thus synchronize through a limited exchange of information in one direction - a phenomenon that can be characterized as machine perception. A recent suggestion has been to envision the fusion of different models analogously, as 3-way synchronization of the different models with reality. This phenomenon may be useful for improving climate projection by combining a few different models that differ in regard to the magnitude of global warming and regional predictions. Several machine learning approaches have been proposed to train the connections linking corresponding variables in the different models. Stochastic approaches can avoid non-global local optima, but it seems likely that an intelligent "expert system" approach would improve the supermodel. |
关 键 词: | 混沌系统; 机器感知; 超模型 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2019-09-21:cwx |
阅读次数: | 73 |