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社会网络中选民模型的意见形成

Opinion Formation by Voter Models in Social Networks
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/solomon_motoda_opinion_formation/  
主讲教师: Hiroshi Motoda
开课单位: 大阪大学
开课时间: 2012-09-28
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
大规模的社交网络应用程序使新闻,思想,观点和谣言易于传播,从而极大地影响和改变了我们的日常生活。不断产生大量数据并将其提供给我们,从而能够研究社交网络中影响力的传播。由于网络中的一个实体和节点处于活动状态(受影响)或处于非活动状态(不受影响),因此许多工作已将信息视为信息,即只有两种状态。在这项工作中,我们讨论了另一种类型的信息传播,即``观点形成'',即观点的传播。这需要处理多个状态的模型。由于每个意见(所说的)都有其自身的价值,而价值较高的意见则更容易/迅速传播,因此我们首先扩展基本投票人模型以能够处理多个意见,并为每个意见合并价值。我们将此模型称为值加权投票(VwV)模型。我们从有限的观点传播数据中学习权重,并预测未来的份额。我们进一步在VwV模型中增加了一个新组件,以反映出这样的事实,即总有一些人与多数人不同意。反多数派。该模型称为价值加权混合投票者(VwMV)模型,该模型将VwV模型和反投票者模型结合在一起并具有多种意见。我们还从数据中了解了权重和反多数派倾向。学习反多数派倾向比学习权重要困难得多,但是我们证明两者都是可以从数据中学到的。我们对VwMV模型进行均值场分析,以深入了解观点共享的平均行为并发现一些有趣的特征。最后,我们解决了检测具有多种观点的VwV模型下由未知外部情况变化导致的观点共享变化的问题在回顾性的环境中。这是一个双循环学习问题,暴力方法是不可行的。我们表明对数似然的一阶导数的使用导致更快的解决方案。
课程简介: Large scale social networking applications have made it possible for news, ideas, opinions and rumors to spread easily, which affects and changes our daily life style substantially. Massive data are constantly being produced and are made available to us, enabling the study of the spread of influence in social networks. Much of the work has treated information as one entity and nodes in the network are either active (influenced) or inactive (uninfluenced), i.e., there are only two states. In this work, we address a different type of information diffusion, which is ``opinion formation'', i.e., spread of opinions. This requires a model that handles multiple states. Since each opinion (what is said) has its own value and an opinion with a higher value propagates more easily/rapidly, we first extend the basic voter model to be able to handle multiple opinions, and incorporate the value for each opinion. We call this model the value-weighted voter (VwV) model. We learn the weight from a limited number of opinion propagation data and predict the future share. We further added a new component to the VwV model reflecting the fact that there are always people that do not agree with the majority, i.e. anti-majoritarians. The model is called the value-weighted mixture voter (VwMV) model which combines the VwV and the anti-voter models both with multiple opinions. We also learn the weight and the anti-majoritarian tendency from the data. Learning the anti-majoritarian tendency is much more difficult than learning the weight, but we show that both are learnable from the data. We carry out the mean field analysis to VwMV model to gain an insight into the average behavior of opinion share and find some interesting features. Finally, we address the problem of detecting the change in opinion share caused by an unknown external situation change under the VwV model with multiple opinions in a retrospective setting. This is the double loop learning problem and the brute force approach is infeasible. We show that the use of the first order derivative of the log likelihood results in much faster solution.
关 键 词: 社交网络; 反多数派倾向; 双循环学习
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2019-09-22:cwx
阅读次数: 68