帮助医生和病人理解卫生统计:走向循证社会Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics: towards an evidence-based society |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/icots2010_gigerenezer_hdap/ |
主讲教师: | Gerd Gigerenzer |
开课单位: | 马克斯普朗克研究所 |
开课时间: | 2010-08-09 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 集体统计文盲是指大多数人不了解卫生统计的含义,甚至不加注意就得出错误结论的现象。例如,很少有人意识到癌症筛查的高存活率并不意味着寿命延长,或者说乳房X光检查可以将死于乳腺癌的风险降低20%,这实际上意味着每1000名妇女中就有1人死于乳腺癌。我认为,统计文盲(I)对病人、记者和医生都很普遍;(ii)是由于信息的不透明度而造成的,有时这是由于缺乏理解而无意的结果,但也可能是有意操纵或说服人们的努力;以及(iii)是教育系统中统计思维缺乏有效培训的结果。 |
课程简介: | Collective statistical illiteracy is the phenomenon that the majority of people do not understand what health statistics mean, or even consistently draw wrong conclusions without noticing. For instance, few are aware that higher survival rates with cancer screening do not imply longer life, or that the statement that mammography screening reduces the risk of dying from breast cancer by 20% in fact means that 1 less woman out of 1,000 will die of breast cancer. I argue that statistical illiteracy (i) is common to patients, journalists, and physicians alike; (ii) is created by nontransparent framing of information that is sometimes an unintentional result of lack of understanding, but can also be an intentional effort to manipulate or persuade people; and (iii) is a consequence of the ongoing lack of efficient training in statistical thinking in the educational system. |
关 键 词: | 集体统计文盲; 癌症; 卫生 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
数据采集: | 2020-10-28:yxd |
最后编审: | 2021-01-08:yumf |
阅读次数: | 44 |