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第12讲-人类和环境影响

Lecture 12 - Human and Environmental Impacts
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/yalemcdb150s09_wyman_lec12/  
主讲教师: Robert Wyman
开课单位: 耶鲁大学
开课时间: 2010-05-14
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
直到最近,世界人口一直以指数级的速度增长。虽然增长速度有所放缓,但每年新增人口约8000万,到2050年将增加约30亿(增长50%)。除此之外,人口可能会增加更多。这种增长是前所未有的,我们无法预测其长期影响。人口增长对环境的影响必然是天文的。人口过多造成两个问题:富国的过度消费导致环境灾难,而贫穷国家的消费不足导致人类痛苦。生活在赤贫中的人(每天1美元)不会限制他们的生育能力。在贫穷国家,工厂工作的工资是这个数字的两倍,大约每天2美元。为了使人口稳定,收入必须增加。如果人口增长50%,收入需要翻番——我们看到的是世界经济的三倍。目前环境压力过大。它能在经济增长三倍的情况下生存下来吗?
课程简介: Until recently, the world population has been growing faster than exponentially. Although the growth rate has slowed somewhat, there are about 80 million more people each year and about 3 billion more will be added by 2050 (a 50% increase). Population will probably increase more beyond that. Such growth is unprecedented and we cannot predict its long-term effects. The environmental impact of this population increase is bound to be astronomic. Large populations engender two problems: over-consumption in the rich countries which leads to environmental misery, and under-consumption in the poor countries which leads to human misery. People living in abject poverty ($1 per day) don't limit their fertility. Factory jobs in poor countries pay double that, approximately $2 per day. For population to stabilize, income must rise. If population is to increase by 50%, income needs to double -- we are looking at a tripling of the world economy. The environment is currently overstressed. Can it survive a tripling of the economy?
关 键 词: 人口; 环境; 影响
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2020-11-26:yxd
最后编审: 2020-11-26:yxd
阅读次数: 43