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变化世界中的气候变化:满足人类和地球的需要

Climate Change in a Changing World: Meeting the Needs of Humanity and the Planet
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/mitworld_hamburg_climate/  
主讲教师: Steven Hamburg
开课单位: 环境保护基金
开课时间: 2011-12-23
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
史蒂文•汉堡说:“下个世纪的主导故事”要么是悲观,要么是救赎,这取决于人类如何选择应对气候变化。迄今为止,地球上的居民还没有有意义地承认这一选择。然而,汉堡仍然保持着乐观的情绪,因为他相信把气候变化的影响带到个人身上可能会刺激建设性的反应。第一个汉堡概述了可怕的事实:在未来几十年里,地球的温度将至少上升2摄氏度,其后果可能包括农作物产量的变化、珊瑚礁的减少以及海平面的上升,这些都会给三角洲的人口带来毁灭性的风暴潮威胁。从汉堡的角度来看,没有一个严肃的论据认为人类是这种迅速变化的主要驱动力,这种变化已经对世界许多地区产生了负面影响。虽然富裕社会可能会讨论适应问题,但“输家是那些每天靠一美元生活、没有资本的人”。因此,“对我们每个人来说,问题是多大的改变就是太多的改变?……我们能容忍多少?1988年,汉堡的第一篇气候变化论文聚焦于他非常熟悉的一个主题,新罕布什尔州白山的生态,却遭到了“彻底的沉默”。他担心,科学家们在进行气候变化研究时仍然处于一种空白状态,大多数人对正在发生的大灾难相对置之不理。他说:“这种不和谐对我们这个社会来说是一个挑战。”。因此,他正在与一些组织合作,试图传达气候变化如何影响“我们生活和关心的地方”。例如,在汉堡的白山区,气候变化导致了一个更短的冬天,以及一种冬季变暖和降温的模式,使曾经占主导地位的红云杉林遭到毁灭,留下枫树茁壮成长(暂时)。必须说服世界各地的人们成为“变革的推动者”。Hamburg讲述了沃尔玛首席执行官如何招募他来帮助公司变得更具可持续性,从而销售了数百万只紧凑型荧光灯(取代白炽灯),获得了大利润,并大幅节省了碳排放量。汉堡认为,企业正在得到它(甚至鲁珀特默多克的连锁店正在走向绿色化),认为“为社会做正确的事情”可以节省资金。但这些举措必须伴随着发达国家和发展中国家的政府监管,这将需要“对话……将我们自己世界和生活中的影响与我们可以采取的行动联系起来。”
课程简介: The “dominant story of the next century” will be one of either gloom or redemption, says Steven Hamburg, depending on how humanity chooses to address climate change. To date, Earth’s inhabitants have not meaningfully acknowledged this choice. Yet Hamburg retains a streak of optimism, based on his belief that bringing the impact of climate change home to individuals may stimulate a constructive response. First Hamburg sketches the dire facts: the planet is headed toward at least a 2 degree Celsius increase in temperature in coming decades, with consequences likely to include shifts in crop production, coral reef decline, and rising sea levels that threaten delta populations with devastating storm surges. From Hamburg’s perspective, there’s no serious argument that humans are major drivers of this rapid change, which is already negatively affecting many regions of the world. While affluent societies may discuss adaptation, it’s already clear that “the losers are those people living on a dollar a day, with no capital.” So “the question for each of us is how much change is too much change? … How much can we tolerate?” Hamburg’s first climate change paper in 1988, which focused on a subject he knows intimately, the ecology of New Hampshire’s White Mountains, was met with “total silence.” He worries that scientists are still conducting climate change research in a kind of void, with most people relatively oblivious to an unfolding cataclysm. “It’s that dissonance that’s a challenge for us as a society,” he says. As a result, he’s working with groups that attempt to communicate how climate change affects the “places we live in and care about.” For instance, in Hamburg’s White Mountain territory, climate change has led to a much shorter winter, and a pattern of winter warming and cooling that has decimated the once dominant red spruce forests, leaving maples to thrive (for the moment). People everywhere must be persuaded to become “agents of change.” Hamburg recounts how the CEO of Walmart enlisted him to help the corporation become more sustainable, which led to the sale of millions of compact fluorescent bulbs (replacing incandescents), major profits, and massive savings in carbon emissions. Corporations are getting it, believes Hamburg (even Rupert Murdoch’s chains are going green), seeing that “doing the right thing for society” can save money. But these moves must be accompanied by government regulations, in both developed and developing countries, which will require a “conversation…to link impacts in our own worlds and lives, with actions we can take.”
关 键 词: 气候变化; 人类需要; 环境
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2020-11-26:yxd
最后编审: 2020-11-26:yxd
阅读次数: 52