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经验决策中的效用加权抽样

Utility-weighted sampling in decisions from experience
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/rldm2015_lieder_utility_weighted/  
主讲教师: Falk Lieder
开课单位: 加州大学伯克利分校
开课时间: 2015-07-28
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
人们在决策过程中过度重视极端事件,并高估其发生的频率。先前的理论研究表明,这种明显不合理的偏差可能来自效用加权抽样——一种合理利用有限计算资源的决策机制(Lieder,Hsu,&Griffiths,2014)。在这里,我们展示了效用加权抽样可以从一个神经似是而非的联想学习机制中产生。我们的模型解释了经验反复决策中极端结果的过度权重(Ludvig、Madan和Spetch,2014),以及对其频率和潜在记忆偏差的高估(Madan、Ludvig和Spetch,2014)。我们的结果支持这样的结论:效用通过将潜在后果的神经模拟偏向于极值来驱动概率权重。
课程简介: People overweight extreme events in decision-making and overestimate their frequency. Previous theoretical work has shown that this apparently irrational bias could result from utility-weighted sampling–a decision mechanism that makes rational use of limited computational resources (Lieder, Hsu, & Griffiths, 2014). Here, we show that utility-weighted sampling can emerge from a neurally plausible associative learning mechanism. Our model explains the over-weighting of extreme outcomes in repeated decisions from experience (Ludvig, Madan, & Spetch, 2014), as well as the overestimation of their frequency and the underlying memory biases (Madan, Ludvig, & Spetch, 2014). Our results support the conclusion that utility drives probability-weighting by biasing the neural simulation of potential consequences towards extreme values.
关 键 词: 联想学习; 资源; 加权抽样
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2020-12-14:yxd
最后编审: 2020-12-14:yxd
阅读次数: 52