图 书 馆
基于图的预测模型及其应用A Graph-based prediction model with applications |
|
| 课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/sikdd2018_kresz_prediction_model/ |
| 主讲教师: | Miklós Krész |
| 开课单位: | InnoRenew CoE公司 |
| 开课时间: | 2018-11-22 |
| 课程语种: | 英语 |
| 中文简介: |  |
| 课程简介: | We present a new model for probabilistic forecasting using graph-based rating method. We provide a forward-looking" type graph-based approach and apply it to predict football game outcomes by simply using the historical game results data of the investigated competition. The assumption of our model is that the rating of the teams after a game day correctly reflects the actual relative performance of them. We consider that the smaller the changing of the rating vector {contains the ratings of each team { after a certain outcome in an upcoming single game, the higher the probability of that outcome. Performing experiments on European foot- ball championships data, we can observe that the model performs well in general and outperforms some of the advanced versions of the widely-used Bradley-Terry model in many cases in terms of predictive accuracy. Although the application we present here is special, we note that our method can be applied to forecast general graph processes. |
| 关 键 词: | 基于图的评级方法; 欧洲足球锦标赛数据; 进行概率预测的新模型; 布拉德利-特里模型 |
| 课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
| 数据采集: | 2022-12-23：cyh |
| 最后编审: | 2023-05-15：cyh |
| 阅读次数: | 20 |