基于树集合的可操作特征调整可解释预测Interpretable Predictions of Tree-based Ensembles via Actionable Feature Tweaking |
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课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/kdd2017_silvestri_interpretable_predicti... |
主讲教师: | Fabrizio Silvestri |
开课单位: | 脸书(Facebook) |
开课时间: | 2017-10-09 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | 机器学习模型通常被描述为“黑匣子”。然而,在许多现实世界的应用中,模型可能不得不牺牲预测能力来支持人类的可解释性。在这种情况下,特征工程成为一项关键任务,需要大量耗时的人力工作。虽然一些特征本质上是静态的,代表了不受影响的特性(例如,个人的年龄),但其他特征捕捉到了可以调整的特性(如,每天摄入的碳水化合物量)。尽管如此,一旦从数据中学习到模型,它对新实例的每一个预测都是不可逆的——假设每个实例都是位于所选特征空间中的静态点。最后,我们对大型广告网络雅虎双子(Yahoo Gemini)的活跃库存子集进行了评估。 |
课程简介: | Machine-learned models are often described as "black boxes". In many real-world applications however, models may have to sacrifice predictive power in favour of human-interpretability. When this is the case, feature engineering becomes a crucial task, which requires significant and time-consuming human effort. Whilst some features are inherently static, representing properties that cannot be influenced (e.g., the age of an individual), others capture characteristics that could be adjusted (e.g., the daily amount of carbohydrates taken). Nonetheless, once a model is learned from the data, each prediction it makes on new instances is irreversible - assuming every instance to be a static point located in the chosen feature space.There are many circumstances however where it is important to understand (i) why a model outputs a certain prediction on a given instance, (ii) which adjustable features of that instance should be modified, and finally (iii) how to alter such a prediction when the mutated instance is input back to the model. In this paper, we present a technique that exploits the internals of a tree-based ensemble classifier to offer recommendations for transforming true negative instances into positively predicted ones. We demonstrate the validity of our approach using an online advertising application. First, we design a Random Forest classifier that effectively separates between two types of ads: low (negative) and high (positive) quality ads (instances). Then, we introduce an algorithm that provides recommendations that aim to transform a low quality ad (negative instance) into a high quality one (positive instance). Finally, we evaluate our approach on a subset of the active inventory of a large ad network, Yahoo Gemini |
关 键 词: | 特征调整; 预测解释; 树形集合 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
数据采集: | 2023-05-24:chenxin01 |
最后编审: | 2023-09-15:liyy |
阅读次数: | 34 |