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算法巡逻:预测警务的未来

Algorithmic Patrol: The Futures of Predictive Policing
课程网址: https://videolectures.net/videos/lawandethics2017_wilson_algorith...  
主讲教师: Dean Wilson
开课单位: 大数据2017-卢布尔雅那
开课时间: 2017-07-24
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
预测性警务已成为当代警务的关键术语。通过从灾害预测、战斗情况和供应链管理等不同领域进行预测分析,预测性警务扩大了在更新之前预测犯罪的前景。营销材料中充斥着对未来犯罪的尖锐指控,这些犯罪在发生之前是可以计算、知道和有针对性的。此外,预测性政策被推广为财政紧缩环境下的理想政策技术,能够以具有成本效益的方式指导警察行动,从而消除了对社区参与等“昂贵”措施的需求。本章探讨了预测性警务的主张,将其与警察组织内信息技术的长期轨迹相结合。预测性警务也出现在安全商品化的背景下,精明的营销提出了这样一种观点,即未来的犯罪行为和人员可以在现在变得可见和可操作。与数据主义的核心原则一样,还有一个潜在的逻辑,即通过积累和整合不断扩大的数据集,预测将变得更加精确。虽然承认预测性警务的结果在组织和地理上可能具有高度的偶然性,但有人认为,这代表了当代警务中一种潜在的令人不安的趋势。迄今为止有限的评估证据表明,预测性警务与“日常生活的犯罪学”之间存在选举亲和力,如理性选择和日常活动理论,该理论优先考虑非社会技术解决方案。社交媒体智能(Social Media Intelligence)的整合也预示着算法引导的“实时”预期策略的形式,其后果尚不确定。然而,有人认为,歧视性政策的模式及其随之而来的军国主义逻辑可能会扩大规模,同时在算法计算的光泽下仍然模糊不清。
课程简介: ‘Predictive Policing’ has emerged as the key buzz term of contemporary policing. Engaging predictive analytics drawn from such diverse domains as disaster prediction, combat situations and supply-chain management, predictive policing extends the promise of anticipating crime prior to its actualization. Marketing materials are replete with strident claims of future crimes that are calculable, knowable and targetable before they transpire. Additionally, predictive policing is promoted as the ideal policing technology for a climate of fiscal austerity, with the capacity to direct police operations in a cost-effective fashion – removing the necessity for ‘costly’ measures such as community engagement. This chapter interrogates the claims of predictive policing, contextualizing them against the longer trajectory of information technology within police organizations. Predictive policing also emerges within a context of security commodification where astute marketing has advanced the view that future criminal acts – and persons – can be rendered visible and actionable in the present. In common with the central tenets of dataism, there is also an underlying logic that predictions will be rendered evermore precise through the accumulation and integration of an ever-expanding array of data sets. While acknowledging that the outcomes of predictive policing are likely to be highly contingent, both organizationally and geographically, it is argued that it represents a potentially disturbing trend in contemporary policing. The limited evaluation evidence to date suggests an elective affinity between predictive policing and the ‘criminologies of everyday life’ such as rational choice and routine activities theory, that privilege asocial technical solutions. The integration of SOCMINT (Social Media Intelligence) also presages forms of algorithmically guided ‘real-time’ anticipatory policing – the consequences of which remain uncertain. Nevertheless, it is argued that patterns of discriminatory policing and their attendant militaristic logics may well escalate, while simultaneously remaining obscured beneath the sheen of algorithmic calculation.
关 键 词: 算法巡逻; 预测警务未来; 社交媒体智能
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2024-12-26:liyq
最后编审: 2024-12-26:liyq
阅读次数: 24