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第12讲 - 经济的代际交叠模型

Lecture 12 - Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/yalemecon251f09_geanakoplos_lec12/  
主讲教师: John Geanakoplos
开课单位: 耶鲁大学
开课时间: 2012-03-17
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
为了使社会保障工作,人们不得不相信世界将永远存在的可能性,以便每个老一代都有年轻一代支持它。 Allais和Samuelson发明的重叠世代模型在这里增加了土地,代表了这种情况。金融均衡可以再次降低到一般均衡。乍一看,似乎该模型需要无限数量的供应等于需求方程的解,每个时间段一个。但是通过假设平稳性,整个分析可以简化为一个方程式。在这个数学框架中,我们对社会保障和实际利率达到了更为精确和微妙的理解。我们发现社会保障可能会提高实际利率。土地的存在,一种无限生活的资产,支付永久的股息,迫使实际的利率是积极的,揭露了萨缪尔森的论点,即社会保障是一个庞大但有益的庞氏骗局,每一代人都可以永远获胜推迟增加成本。
课程简介: In order for Social Security to work, people have to believe there's some possibility that the world will last forever, so that each old generation will have a young generation to support it. The overlapping generations model, invented by Allais and Samuelson but here augmented with land, represents such a situation. Financial equilibrium can again be reduced to general equilibrium. At first glance it would seem that the model requires a solution of an infinite number of supply equals demand equations, one for each time period. But by assuming stationarity, the whole analysis can be reduced to one equation. In this mathematical framework we reach an even more precise and subtle understanding of Social Security and the real rate of interest. We find that Social Security likely increases the real rate of interest. The presence of land, an infinitely lived asset that pays a perpetual dividend, forces the real rate of interest to be positive, exposing the flaw in Samuelson's contention that Social Security is a giant, yet beneficial, Ponzi scheme where each generation can win by perpetually deferring a growing cost.
关 键 词: 经济的代际交叠模型; 经济; 模型
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-06-08:wuyq
阅读次数: 85