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复杂系统200 / Coursera模式的思考

Complex Systems 200 / Coursera - Model Thinking
课程网址: http://open.umich.edu/education/lsa/cmplxsys200/winter2012  
主讲教师: Scott E. Page
开课单位: 密歇根大学
开课时间: 2012-04-19
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
内容类型: 课程简称/课程代码:  CMPLXSYS200我们生活在一个复杂的世界,有着不同的人,公司和政府,他们的行为聚集在一起,产生新颖的,意想不到的现象。我们看到政治起义,市场崩溃以及一系列无休止的社会趋势。我们如何理解它?楷模。有证据表明,与模特一起思考的人总是胜过那些没有模特的人。而且,那些认为有很多模特的人胜过只使用一个模特的人。为什么模特会让我们成为更好的思想家?模型帮助我们更好地组织信息 - 理解互联网上可用的消防软管或数据毛球(选择你的比喻)。模型提高了我们进行准确预测的能力。它们帮助我们做出更好的决策并采用更有效的策略。他们甚至可以提高我们设计机构和程序的能力。在本课程中,学生将获得一套模型入门套件:从临界点模型开始。然后继续介绍解释人群智慧的模型,说明为什么有些国家富裕而有些国家贫穷的模型,以及帮助解开公司和政治家战略决策的模型。本课程涵盖的模型为未来的社会科学课程提供了基础,无论他们是经济学,政治学,商业还是社会学。掌握这些材料将为您提供高级课程的巨大优势。他们也在生活中帮助你。加入:访问该课程的网站注册并参加本课程。讲师:Scott E. Page课程级别:本科适用于:Coursera讲师课程讲师: 斯科特E Page
课程简介: Content Type:  Course Short Title/Course Code:  CMPLXSYS200 We live in a complex world with diverse people, firms, and governments whose behaviors aggregate to produce novel, unexpected phenomena. We see political uprisings, market crashes, and a never ending array of social trends. How do we make sense of it? Models. Evidence shows that people who think with models consistently outperform those who don't. And, moreover people who think with lots of models outperform people who use only one. Why do models make us better thinkers? Models help us to better organize information - to make sense of that fire hose or hairball of data (choose your metaphor) available on the Internet. Models improve our abilities to make accurate forecasts. They help us make better decisions and adopt more effective strategies. They even can improve our ability to design institutions and procedures. In this class, students will be presented with a starter kit of models: starting with models of tipping points. Then moving on to cover models explaining the wisdom of crowds, models that show why some countries are rich and some are poor, and models that help unpack the strategic decisions of firms and politicians. The models covered in this class provide a foundation for future social science classes, whether they be in economics, political science, business, or sociology. Mastering this material will give you a huge leg up in advanced courses. They also help you in life. Join: Visit the course's site to register for and participate in this class. Instructor: Scott E. Page Course Level: Undergraduate Available on: Coursera Instructor Course Instructor:  Scott E Page
关 键 词: 复杂系统; 思考; 消防软管; 毛团数据; 模型
课程来源: 密歇根大学公开课
最后编审: 2015-10-10:linxl
阅读次数: 35