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大气和海洋的预测和预报

12.990 Prediction and Predictability in the Atmosphere and Oceans
课程网址: http://ocw.mit.edu/courses/earth-atmospheric-and-planetary-scienc...  
主讲教师: Prof. Jim Hansen
开课单位: 麻省理工学院
开课时间: 2003-03-01
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
预测是模型验证的最终形式。但即使有一个完美的模型, 不完美的预测也有可能发生。本课程将涵盖限制我们进行良好预测能力的因素, 将展示如何先验地衡量预测的质量 (预测我们的预测能力!系统。
课程简介: Forecasting is the ultimate form of model validation. But even if a perfect model is in hand, imperfect forecasts are likely. This course will cover the factors that limit our ability to produce good forecasts, will show how the quality of forecasts can be gauged a priori (predicting our ability to predict!), and will cover the state of the art in operational atmosphere and ocean forecasting systems.
关 键 词: 模型验证; 预测质量; 操作大气和海洋预报系统
课程来源: 麻省理工大学公开课
最后编审: 2015-11-21:cmh
阅读次数: 29