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现值价格和实际利率

Lecture 5 - Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/yalemecon251f09_geanakoplos_lec05/  
主讲教师: John Geanakoplos
开课单位: 耶鲁大学
开课时间: 2012-03-17
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
几千年来,哲学家和神学家一直抨击利益。但那是因为他们不明白是什么引起了兴趣。欧文费舍尔通过将时间和资产引入GE模型,在一般均衡(GE)之上建立了一个金融均衡模型。他看到今天的苹果和明年的苹果之间的贸易完全类似于今天的苹果和橙子之间的贸易。同样,他看到,在一个没有不确定性的世界里,股票和债券等资产只对他们未来支付的股息有重大意义,就像多种商品的捐赠一样。凭借这些见解,费舍尔能够证明他能够解决他的利率,现值价格,资产价格和分配的财务均衡模型,其方法与我们用于解决一般均衡的技术完全相同。他的结论是,实际利率是一个相对价格,就像任何其他相对价格一样,是由市场参与者的偏好和禀赋决定的,这种观点与哲学家在人类历史的大部分时期所持有的直觉背道而驰。他的理论并没有解释名义利率或通货膨胀率,而只是他们的比率。
课程简介: Philosophers and theologians have railed against interest for thousands of years. But that is because they didn't understand what causes interest. Irving Fisher built a model of financial equilibrium on top of general equilibrium (GE) by introducing time and assets into the GE model. He saw that trade between apples today and apples next year is completely analogous to trade between apples and oranges today. Similarly he saw that in a world without uncertainty, assets like stocks and bonds are significant only for the dividends they pay in the future, just like an endowment of multiple goods. With these insights Fisher was able to show that he could solve his model of financial equilibrium for interest rates, present value prices, asset prices, and allocations with precisely the same techniques we used to solve for general equilibrium. He concluded that the real rate of interest is a relative price, and just like any other relative price, is determined by market participants' preferences and endowments, an insight that runs counter to the intuitions held by philosophers throughout much of human history. His theory did not explain the nominal rate of interest or inflation, but only their ratio.
关 键 词: 现值价格; 实际利率; 价格和利率
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2020-07-02:liush
阅读次数: 29