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大型流行性疾病暴发的大规模计算模型与规划

Planning for Pandemic Outbreaks with Large Scale Computational Models
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/ccss09_vespignani_pfpo/  
主讲教师: Alessandro Vespignani
开课单位: 印第安纳大学
开课时间: 2009-07-10
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
我们提出了一类计算流行病模型,将全球范围内的交通和人口普查数据结合起来。定义的模型可以分析复杂的移动网络对突发疾病传播行为的影响,以及计算方法提供的预测能力的一般问题。在这个框架中,可以使用粒子网络方法来解决基本问题,并为大规模流行病的研究提供新的数学和计算工具。我们将重点讨论入侵阈值的分析和流行途径的定义。基于这些结果,我们提出了全球流行病建模器(GEM)计算平台,可用于分析新出现的疾病暴发的干预和缓解政策。
课程简介: We present a class of computational epidemic models that integrate transportation and census data on the worldwide scale. The defined models allow the analysis of the impact of complex mobility networks on the behavior of emergent disease spreading and the general issue of the predictive power offered by computational approaches. In this framework it is possible to tackle foundational issues by using the particle network approach and provide new mathematical and computational tools for the study of large scale epidemics. We will focus the discussion on the analysis of invasion thresholds and the definition of epidemic pathways. Based on these results we present the Global Epidemic Modeler (GEM) computational platform that can be used in the analysis of intervention and mitigation policies for emerging disease outbreak.
关 键 词: 流行病; 疾病传播; 全球流行病学建模
课程来源: 视频讲座网
最后编审: 2019-12-27:lxf
阅读次数: 42