在这变化着的世界中的气候变化:满足人类和地球的需求Climate Change in a Changing World: Meeting the Needs of Humanity and the Planet |
|
课程网址: | http://videolectures.net/mitworld_hamburg_climate/ |
主讲教师: | Steven Hamburg |
开课单位: | 环保基金会 |
开课时间: | 2011-12-23 |
课程语种: | 英语 |
中文简介: | Steven Hamburg说,下个世纪的“主导故事”将是阴郁或救赎,这取决于人类如何选择应对气候变化。迄今为止,地球上的居民还没有有意义地承认这一选择。然而,汉堡仍然保持乐观的态度,因为他相信把气候变化的影响带回家给个人可能会激发建设性的反应。首先,汉堡描绘了可怕的事实:未来几十年,全球气温将上升至少2摄氏度,其后果可能包括农作物产量的变化、珊瑚礁的减少以及海平面上升,这些都会对三角洲地区的人口构成毁灭性风暴潮的威胁。从汉堡的角度来看,没有严肃的论据表明人类是这种快速变化的主要驱动力,这种变化已经对世界许多地区产生了负面影响。虽然富裕社会可能会讨论适应问题,但很明显,“失败者是那些每天生活在一美元上,没有资本的人。”所以,“我们每个人的问题是,变化有多大,变化太大?”…我们能容忍多少?“汉堡1988年发表的第一篇气候变化论文,集中讨论了他非常熟悉的一个主题,即新罕布什尔州白山的生态,却遭遇了“完全沉默”。他担心,科学家们仍在以一种空虚的方式进行气候变化研究,大多数人对一个正在展开的研究相对地一无所知。灾变。他说:“正是这种不和谐对我们这个社会来说是一个挑战。”因此,他正与一些团体合作,试图交流气候变化如何影响我们居住和关心的地方。例如,在汉堡的白山地区,气候变化导致了更短的冬天,冬季变暖和降温的模式已经摧毁了曾经占主导地位的红云杉。森林,让枫树茁壮成长(暂时)。必须说服世界各地的人们成为“变革的代理人”。汉堡讲述了沃尔玛的首席执行官如何招募他来帮助公司变得更加可持续,这导致了数以百万计的紧凑型荧光灯的销售(更换白炽灯)、主要利润和碳排放的大量节约。汉堡认为,企业正在实现这一目标(甚至鲁珀特·默多克的连锁店也在走向绿色),因为“为社会做正确的事”可以节省资金。但这些举措必须与发达国家和发展中国家的政府法规相结合,这些法规要求“对话”将我们自己世界和生活中的影响与我们可以采取的行动联系起来。 |
课程简介: | The “dominant story of the next century” will be one of either gloom or redemption, says Steven Hamburg, depending on how humanity chooses to address climate change. To date, Earth’s inhabitants have not meaningfully acknowledged this choice. Yet Hamburg retains a streak of optimism, based on his belief that bringing the impact of climate change home to individuals may stimulate a constructive response. First Hamburg sketches the dire facts: the planet is headed toward at least a 2 degree Celsius increase in temperature in coming decades, with consequences likely to include shifts in crop production, coral reef decline, and rising sea levels that threaten delta populations with devastating storm surges. From Hamburg’s perspective, there’s no serious argument that humans are major drivers of this rapid change, which is already negatively affecting many regions of the world. While affluent societies may discuss adaptation, it’s already clear that “the losers are those people living on a dollar a day, with no capital.” So “the question for each of us is how much change is too much change? … How much can we tolerate?” Hamburg’s first climate change paper in 1988, which focused on a subject he knows intimately, the ecology of New Hampshire’s White Mountains, was met with “total silence.” He worries that scientists are still conducting climate change research in a kind of void, with most people relatively oblivious to an unfolding cataclysm. “It’s that dissonance that’s a challenge for us as a society,” he says. As a result, he’s working with groups that attempt to communicate how climate change affects the “places we live in and care about.” For instance, in Hamburg’s White Mountain territory, climate change has led to a much shorter winter, and a pattern of winter warming and cooling that has decimated the once dominant red spruce forests, leaving maples to thrive (for the moment). People everywhere must be persuaded to become “agents of change.” Hamburg recounts how the CEO of Walmart enlisted him to help the corporation become more sustainable, which led to the sale of millions of compact fluorescent bulbs (replacing incandescents), major profits, and massive savings in carbon emissions. Corporations are getting it, believes Hamburg (even Rupert Murdoch’s chains are going green), seeing that “doing the right thing for society” can save money. But these moves must be accompanied by government regulations, in both developed and developing countries, which will require a “conversation…to link impacts in our own worlds and lives, with actions we can take.” |
关 键 词: | 气候变化; 可持续; 碳排放量; 变革推动者 |
课程来源: | 视频讲座网 |
最后编审: | 2020-06-07:yumf |
阅读次数: | 67 |