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迁移母题:金融市场的时空模式挖掘方法

Migration Motif: A Spatial-Temporal Pattern Mining Approach for Financial Markets
课程网址: http://videolectures.net/kdd09_du_mmstpmafm/  
主讲教师: Xiaoxi Du
开课单位: 国际知识发现和数据挖掘大会
开课时间: 2009-01-09
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
两位著名金融研究者Fama和French最近的一项研究引入了一个研究风险与收益的新框架:股票在规模价值组合空间中的迁移。考虑到2008年的金融事件,这一首次尝试解开移民行为与股票回报之间的关系尤其及时。然而,他们的工作只针对细分市场,而不是单个公司,而且只针对一年期的变动。因此,我们看到了金融数据挖掘的一个新挑战:如何捕获和分类单个公司的迁移,以及这种行为如何影响其回报。 我们提出了一种新的数据挖掘方法来研究单个公司的多年移动。具体来说,我们解决了这样一个问题:“一个人如何发现股市中的频繁迁移模式?”我们提出了一种新的轨迹挖掘算法来发现金融市场中的迁移主题。该算法的新特点是通过图论方法处理近似模式匹配、最大团识别以及时间和空间约束的结合。我们对纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和美国证券交易所的股票市场进行了长达43年的详细研究。我们成功地找到了证实现有金融理论的移民母题和可能导致新金融模式的其他母题。
课程简介: A recent study by two prominent finance researchers, Fama and French, introduces a new framework for studying risk vs. return: the migration of stocks across size-value portfolio space. Given the financial events of 2008, this first attempt to disentangle the relationships between migration behavior and stock returns is especially timely. Their work, however, derives results only for market segments, not individual companies, and only for one-year moves. Thus, we see a new challenge for financial data mining: how to capture and categorize the migration of individual companies, and how such behavior affects their returns. We propose a novel data mining approach to study the multi-year movement of individual companies. Specifically, we address the question: ``How does one discover frequent migration patterns in the stock market?'' We present a new trajectory mining algorithm to discover migration motifs in financial markets. Novel features of this algorithm are its handling of approximate pattern matching through a graph theoretical method, maximal clique identification, and incorporation of temporal and spatial constraints. We have performed a detailed study of the NASDAQ, NYSE, and AMEX stock markets, over a 43-year span. We successfully find migration motifs that confirm existing finance theories and other motifs that may lead to new financial models.
关 键 词: 组合空间; 数据挖掘; 金融理论
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2022-11-10:chenjy
最后编审: 2022-11-11:chenjy
阅读次数: 39