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流感预测的新时间序列方法

New Time Series Methods for Flu Forecasting
课程网址: https://videolectures.net/videos/kdd2016_ramakrishnan_series_meth...  
主讲教师: Naren Ramakrishnan
开课单位: KDD 2016研讨会
开课时间: 2025-02-04
课程语种: 英语
中文简介:
最近,在美国疾病控制与预防中心和国际癌症研究机构等机构组织的竞赛的推动下,人们对预测流感的计算方法产生了共同的兴趣。美国疾病控制与预防中心竞赛旨在预测美国的流感季节特征,国际癌症研究机构开源指标(OSI)预测锦标赛侧重于拉丁美洲国家的疾病预测(流感和罕见病)。演讲者的团队被宣布为IARPA OSI竞赛的获胜者,这项任务将传达我们从成功的流感预测引擎中吸取的经验教训,如何评估其性能,以及如何最好地确保其与公共卫生政策和规划目的的相关性。
课程简介: There has been recent concerted interest in computational methods for forecasting the flu, spurred by competitions organized by agencies like the CDC and IARPA. The CDC competition aimed to forecast flu seasonal characteristics in the US and the IARPA Open Source Indicators (OSI) forecasting tournament was focused on disease forecasting (flu and rare diseases) in countries of Latin America. The speaker's team was declared the winner in the IARPA OSI competition and this task will communicate our lessons learned about what goes into a successful flu forecasting engine, how to evaluate its performance, and how best to ensure its relevance to public health policy and planning purposes.
关 键 词: 流感预测; 时间序列; 预防中心
课程来源: 视频讲座网
数据采集: 2025-04-06:liyq
最后编审: 2025-04-06:liyq
阅读次数: 10